2024 El Nino Or La Nina Uk. Noaa projects an 85 percent chance that the enso cycle will shift to its neutral phase between april and june 2024, and then a 60 percent chance a la niña. Meteorologists estimate that there is an 85% chance that.
La niña events are less. A weather phenomenon called el niño off the west coast of peru is disrupting the trade winds globally, as well as the jet stream, external.